Boring?

I guess this blog is pretty boring, since it's focused on poker and I don't post hand histories any more. I need to start putting them up again for a few reasons. Mainly to remind myself of my bad play--publicly. Also, one of the main readers needs to see some of these to learn some things. I won't post a hand up unless it has a lesson in it to be learned. I'll just post the hand and my basic reasoning.

http://www.pokerhand.org/?3885088

Standard pfr on button w/ KQ. Villain is 21/18/7.5 (if not otherwise stated the format for stats will be vpip/pfr/3bet). Villain in BB 3bets and at this point I believe villain is definitely on a resteal. Also his flop cbet % is 78 so I already believe I can float many flops in position if he shows weakness. Remember, I'm a "nit" so my image conveys strength.

So he 3bets to 21 and I call in position. As I expected he makes a standard cbet on Js4h2s board and I call. My reasoning is important here. I had a plan BEFORE the flop, got what was expected, and executed what I set out to do. I am repping a made hand at this point obviously. I can be repping a monster pre or something as small as JT, but I'm repping a made hand. I expect him to give up on most turns, and I expect to take down most turns with a vbet when checked to.

The turn is Kc. Now he checks to me. If he had AA, AK, KQ, QQ, etc he would have put another bet out on turn. If he had AK, AA, KQ it would be a vbet and wouldn't check. Basically when he checks on the turn I expect him to hold things in the range of AQ, TT to maintain pot control, but he MIGHT even use the king as a scare card with those holdings. So why is he checking?

This situation does come up. He has to be checking because he puts me on something solid and doesn't have much to vbet with. Now here's something I may be doing a lot. And SOME have caught on to this (the regs that pay attention), but so many do what this villain does. Well, at the turn my read is that I essentially have the nuts. I'll repeat his stats: 21/18/7.5--these stats are TAG stats and I expect him to play likewise postflop. So when the king hits the turn, what are my options? Check or bet duh.

If I check I give him the opportunity to spike ANYTHING with infinite odds. That's out of the question. So I'm betting. What do I bet? Pot, 3/4pot, 2/3pot? Why not one of my favorites? 1/3pot! Remember I have fairly nitty stats: something around the 16/13 range (I'm working on it relax). So what the hell am I doing betting 1/3pot?

This is what I call my "spaz inducing" bet. To be totally honest, I think I love this play and it makes up for some of my other leaks. Enjoy it and embrace it. So the pot is $111 on the turn and I toss $36 out there when checked to. Now he can fold (I'm happy with that!); he can call (this may be scary, but this happens very little); he can raise!!!

Now off the bat, he can call oop and river me. Yeah it's a LITTLE scary. But what is THE worst thing that will happen? He will call, river me, push, and I will CALL (not fold), and lose. But what will I have lost? 100bb? Charge it to the game! And it happens so infrequently (both the call AND losing 100bb) that I'm prepared to make this play somewhat of a standard for me.

So what does he do? He does what I'm expecting/hoping; he raises. He doesn't know what to raise, and he pushes. The push makes it even more sensible that he has spazzed and is hoping I made a weak bet with a weak hand. He doesn't do what a really big hand MIGHT do and make a "more callable" raise size. And I had to call because it's what I expected/wanted and I didn't get lost in the hand (and it's only 100bb).

So he spazzed with A3dd. He had some equity with 7 outs, but no hit. You can see his thought process when you know his hand and put yourself in his shoes on the turn. He feels I have a weak hand and might lay it down, and if I call at least he knows he CAN suckout.

And what's great about this play is that I can play a REAL monster the exact same way. And I can play this exact hand in the "standard" way and throw in a 3/4pot bet just and be happy to take it down against a fish, tricky opponent, or anyone. So it is disguised fairly well also.

What would I do if the turn wasn't a king? What if it was a queen? What if it was an ace? What if it was a jack? What if it was a (whatever)? How does that change the situation?



http://www.pokerhand.org/?3885162

Villain is 36/21/14.8 over 116 hands. Donking the flop and him calling was key to this hand. Also his post flop aggression is high over those 116 hands. His range is wide, and he just called the flop. Then I showed weakness twice. His river bet was an overbet. Did he have the nuts?


http://www.pokerhand.org/?3885171

See the difference? Villain is 23/15/8.5 over 326 hands. His flop cbet is 76%. Note bet sizes. Why did I do this? Note, that I don't make it a habit of calling too many 3bets. But when I do, I try to have a plan and try to stick to it. Also, if it looks like bluffing is not sensible (for so many reasons) or my read is that I can't win it, I DON'T try to just say "fuck it" and toss my money in and cross my fingers and tilt.


http://www.pokerhand.org/?3885180

Villain is 24/19/11.2 over 237 hands and has not folded to a 3bet. I don't want to say too much about this hand, because the mistake is fairly obvious. Pay to take it down and/or observe where I'm at instead of playing the hand in an awkward way forcing him to put me on a big miss or a HUGE hand. It polarized what I was holding. Note that he did tank, but he still had to call obviously. Playing deep, the thought that jumped in my head was "oh no, what if he check raises me? I won't be able to see the river." But that's playing to give him a cooler and not playing smart poker. I fire again and he folds? Who knows, but no matter what I wouldn't have bluffed the river if he called the turn with no hit (right? lol).


http://www.pokerhand.org/?3885188

Can't play it that much worse? Villain is 32/28/16.7 over 60 hands. He also rarely folds to 3bets and has very passive post flop stats. This is THE WRONG villain to do this against. Why'd I do it? This meant time to log off....


I know you can't view these hands at work, but that doesn't mean you can't view em at home right? Stop complaining about "running bad." You're playing at the cooler tables! I'm sure there's some fish there though.

Oh, Ryan Leslie album is nice.